Football Correspondent
An In-depth analysis into European Football
11/28/2022
Coaching a Year One Team In College
10/06/2022
Crystal Palace: What Has Changed Really?
I have found Crystal Palace pretty interesting ever since former Arsenal Midfielder, Patrick Viera, took over at the south london club. When he became Head Coach at Selhurst Park, every palace fan was expecting a revolution. I was expecting one as well. The club had been previously managed by a very conservative and pragmatic Roy Hodgson. Roy would have palace sit deep in a 4-4-2 formation, capitalise on opponents mistakes, turn possession over, counter and then, of course, pass the ball to Zaha - who desperately wanted out of the club at some point.
As expected, the Viera revolution is here. Attacking football left, right and center. Players showing off their dribbling prowess and the team now pressing than ever. What I, personally, find interesting is how this attacking revolution has not really translated into points and a much higher league table finish for Palace. Last season, they finished in 12th place with 48 points. The season before, they finished in 14th place with 44 points and in Roy Hodgson's penultimate season, they finished 14th with 43 points. So what has really changed for good since Viera's appointment in July 2021? Fans who like their team playing entertaining football are definitely enjoying what they see compared to the past few seasons but what major impact has this 'positive football' had?
One thing that catches the eye is how Palace have turned to younger players. In the 2021/22 season, the Crystal Palace board seriously began to focus on recruiting younger players. They had also spent around £20 million pounds on their academy. What they really did was to not renew expired contracts of more than 9 squad players and then, they went after fresh legs.
In the 2019/20 season, the average age of the club's squad was 29.4 years old. In the 2020/21 season, it was 29.1 years. Coinciding with when Viera came in, the average age dropped significantly to 27.1 years and presently this season, it's at 27.6. Marc Guehi, Conor Gallagher (loan, now returned back to Chelsea), Michael Olise et al. were among the young players that landed at Selhurst Park.
Just for the records, I was obsessed with Gallagher at some point last season.
With younger players sticking around, one would presume that the team's pressing intensity should practically increase but what do the stats tell us?
In the 2019/20 season, Crystal Palace had attempted 6252 pressures and won just 1698 leaving the success rate at 27.2%. The next season, they attempted 5700 pressures, won 1502, and had a success rate of 26.4%. Last season, when the average age dropped, they attempted 6041 pressures, won 1809 and had a success rate of 30%. This statistic provided is merely a descriptive one and we can't really deduce too much from it, as it is lacking some form of context. But what we can see from it is that last season was the period the team had the best success rate in applying pressures on opponent teams compared to the previous two.
Let's look into the currency of football - goals.
Crystal Palace scored 50 goals last season. The three clubs that immediately sat above them on the league table - Brighton, Wolves and Newcastle - scored 42, 38 and 44 goals respectively.
Crystal Palace scored 39 goals two seasons ago (excluding own goals).
Three seasons ago, they scored just 29 goals (excluding own goals).
Since the Viera era began, there is no doubt that Crystal Palace having been finding the net more often than when they were under Roy Hodgson. But another metric to scrutinise is the expected goals metric (xG). xG can tell us the amount of goals a team is supposed to score and then we can compare it with with the number the team actually scored.
The season with the 50 goals scored, they had an xG of 50 goals. This means that Palace clinically made do with the chances they created. The season with the 39 goals scored, they had an xG of 35 goals. This means that Palace scored 4 more goals than they should have. The season with the 29 goals had an xG of 34. It is evident that in Viera's pioneer season, the team created more chances than they did in Roy's last two seasons. An xG of 50 compared to 35 and 34 means Palace are truly a more attacking side. They are creating more chances than they did under their former manager. That is a fact! But anyways, with the team more interesting going forward, the defence haven't really Improved too much and aren't really different from the Crystal Palace of two or three seasons ago. Unfortunately, they concede too many goals. Maybe this provides the answer to why the Veira revolution hasn't picked up many points as I, personally, feel they should be picking.
2/19/2021
Why West Ham Have Been Brilliant So Far
1/22/2021
Football Meets Oligarchy
1/13/2021
Soccermatics: xG, Expected Goals
12/30/2020
How Does The Goal Line Technology Work?
By Matthew
30 December 2020 • 0:15GMT
Since its introduction in the Premier League's 2013/14 season, Hawk-Eye's Goal Line Technology system has failed just once in over 9000 matches that it has been in operation. Of no doubt, the Goal Line Technology (GLT) has refined football, and so, how does it work?
GLT is basically a cluster of technologies that together monitors the path and movement of the ball and spots when it crosses the goal line. There are 4 major systems of the GLT approved by FIFA and the International Football Association Board (IFAB) which operate mainly by either camera tracking or magnetic field sensors.
•GoalControl
At the 2014 FIFA world cup, Brazil, GoalControl was the GLT system used. The German Company gained approval and certification just before the Hawk-Eye system. Before it was used at the world cup, it was successfully tested at the Confederations Cup and at the FIFA club world cup, 2013.
GoalControl uses camera tracking. 14 high speed cameras are mounted on the stadium roof (7 cameras per goal mouth) to capture the position of the ball in the air and on the ground. The referee receives a notification via his watch when the ball crosses the line.
•Hawk-Eye
Just like GoalControl, Hawk-Eye uses camera tracking. 7 cameras are installed at each goal, usually at the roof of the stadium. A software gathers the information from all cameras and then, tracks the ball in relation to the goal line. A signal is sent to the referee's watch within a second when the ball crosses the line. Ten seconds after, a graphical display of the ball's location is ready to be broadcasted.
Hawk-Eye is the present GLT system of the English Premier League and has been around since 2013.
Seven High Speed Cameras per goal mouth•GoalRef
German Company, Fraunhofer IIS is the creator of GoalRef, a company that specialises in wireless communications. This GLT system uses magnetic field sensors built into the goal frames to detect the passing of the ball.
•Cairos GLT system
Cairos technologies and Adidas are the producers of this GLT system which also uses magnetic field sensors. In this system, a magnetic sensor is put into the ball. This sensor detects the magnetic field produced by thin wires underneath the penalty box. A computer then tracks the position of the ball using the sensor.
Another GLT system is GoalMinder which uses cameras built into goalposts and crossbars.
The Sheffield United Incident
A foul is being committed. It's a free kick to Sheffield on their left flank. Oliver Norwood is standing over the dead ball, ready to take the free kick and Aston Villa's defence is getting organised. Norwood sends a beautiful ball in, but Villa's goalie, Ørjan Nyland claims the ball in the air. As Nyland reaches for the ground, teammate, Keinan Davis bumps into him and then he is pushed together with the ball beyond the goal line. Nyland quickly presses the ball unto the goal frame, Sheffield United players are celebrating, the ball clearly crossed the line already.
Nyland is seen to have crossed the line with the ball. Photo Credit: Sheffield United TVTo their surprising disappointment, Referee, Michael Oliver doesn't award the goal, his wrist watch hasn't indicated, by vibration, that the ball crossed the line. Inevitably, this decision sparks a lot of controversies.
Hawk-Eye, the company that runs the league's goal line technology, after the match said that the view of the seven cameras were obstructed by the combination of the goalkeeper, defender and the post. Its statement read:
"During the first half of Aston Villa v Sheffield United match at Villa Park, there was a goal line incident where the ball was carried over the line by Aston Villa goalkeeper, No. 25 Nyland.
"The match officials did not receive a signal to the watch nor earpiece as per the Goal Decision System (GDS) protocol. The seven cameras located in the stands around the goal area were significantly occluded by the goalkeeper, defender, and goalpost. This level of occlusion has never been seen before in over 9,000 matches that the Hawk-Eye Goal Line Technology system has been in operation.
"The system was tested and proved functional prior to the start of the match in accordance with the IFAB Laws of The Game and confirmed as working by the match officials. The system has remained functional throughout. Hawk-Eye unreservedly apologises to the Premier League, Sheffield United, and everyone affected by this incident."
In 2013, when it was introduced to the Premier League, it was said that Hawk-Eye's high speed cameras had the ability to remove any player's picture obscuring the ball. It is still not understood why it didn't in this match.
After the match, Sheffield United's coach, Chris Wilder said he didn't know if he had to laugh or cry as he was deeply hurt by the decision. It cost them two points.
Sometimes, there are errors with all the technologies around but Goal Line Technology has been a huge success since its inception.